Intelligence-Driven Incident Response: Outwitting the Adversary (Second Edition) by Rebekah Brown and Scott J. Roberts is a crucial resource for cybersecurity professionals, focusing on integrating cyber threat intelligence (CTI) with incident response strategies. This second edition is updated with refined concepts and processes, offering practical guidance for analysts, thrunters, and blue teams.

Key Concepts

  1. Intelligence-Driven Approach: The book emphasizes the importance of a cyber threat intelligence mindset in incident response. It demonstrates how threat intelligence and incident response processes reinforce each other, enhancing the ability to identify and understand cyber threats.

  2. Comprehensive Structure: The book is divided into three main parts:

    • Fundamentals: Introduces cyber threat intelligence, the intelligence process, and incident response, explaining their interconnections.
    • Practical Application: Details the intelligence-driven incident response (IDIR) process using the F3EAD framework—Find, Fix, Finish, Exploit, Analyze, and Disseminate.
    • Strategic Outlook: Explores broader aspects of IDIR, including strategic intelligence and building effective threat intelligence teams.
  3. F3EAD Process:

    • Find: Identifying threats using various targeting methods.
    • Fix: Intrusion detection and investigation, including network and system alerting.
    • Finish: Mitigation and remediation strategies.
    • Exploit: Gathering and managing threat data.
    • Analyze: Using structured analytic techniques to process and interpret data.
    • Disseminate: Sharing intelligence with relevant stakeholders.

Practical Guidance

  • Incident Response Models: The book covers models like the Kill Chain, the Diamond Model, and ATT&CK, helping professionals choose the right model for their needs.
  • Analytic Techniques: It explains deductive, inductive, and abductive reasoning, along with structured analytic techniques to improve analysis.
  • Audience and Communication: Discusses developing customer personas and creating actionable intelligence products for different audiences.

Strategic Insights

  • Strategic Intelligence: The role of strategic intelligence in enhancing incident response and informing broader organizational strategies.
  • Program Development: Guidance on building an intelligence program, including stakeholder engagement, defining goals, and developing metrics.
  • Team Building: Emphasizes the importance of diverse teams and effective team dynamics in cybersecurity.

Endorsements and Impact

  • The book is praised by cybersecurity leaders for its practical insights and comprehensive coverage of threat intelligence strategies. It is considered a must-read for those serious about cybersecurity defense.

Authors’ Expertise

Rebekah Brown and Scott J. Roberts bring extensive experience from various sectors, including government intelligence, to provide a thorough exploration of challenges and opportunities in threat intelligence.

This edition is particularly timely given the increasing complexity of the cyber threat landscape, making it an essential guide for organizations aiming to enhance their cybersecurity capabilities and cultivate proficient teams.

For more information, the book is available through O’Reilly Media, offering both print and online editions.

Summary

“Intelligence-Driven Incident Response” by Scott Roberts and Rebekah Brown is a pivotal resource in cyber threat intelligence, bridging the gap between technical skills and intelligence practices. The authors emphasize transforming technically proficient individuals into sophisticated cyber teams by integrating intelligence methods. Drawing from their extensive experience in both public and private sectors, they provide pragmatic strategies for detection, denial, and communication, warning against retributive actions that may backfire. Their recommendations aim to save cyber teams significant time and effort by avoiding trial and error.

The book is essential for C-suite executives, cyber team leads, and educators, advocating for investments in fused cybersecurity and intelligence practices. It offers a blueprint for integrating security operations and intelligence teams, promoting a collaborative approach that enhances detection and response to evolving threats. Roberts and Brown argue that effective teams attract top talent by demonstrating professionalism and proficiency, as opposed to ad hoc operations that fail to serve institutions well.

The authors highlight the importance of collaborative structures that facilitate intelligence sharing across institutions, which can speed up response times and strengthen resilience strategies. This approach is deemed crucial in staying ahead of increasingly sophisticated adversaries. The book is recommended for its strategic insights and practical guidance, making it a must-read for cyber analysts and managers aiming to build intelligence-driven operations.

The text is organized into three parts: fundamentals, practical application, and strategic insights. It introduces the F3EAD model, which integrates intelligence and incident response processes. The book is suitable for those involved in incident response, regardless of their expertise level, and offers practical advice and scenarios to illustrate the integration of intelligence into operations.

The foreword by Jeannie L. Johnson and Rob Lee underscores the book’s significance in the field of cyber threat intelligence. Johnson praises the collaborative and adaptive approach advocated by the authors, while Lee highlights the book’s value in transitioning analysts to advanced operational skills. The text is positioned as a strategic guide that enhances security posture, detection, and response capabilities.

Overall, “Intelligence-Driven Incident Response” is a comprehensive guide for integrating threat intelligence into incident response, providing a strategic framework that enhances cybersecurity operations. It is recommended for its clarity, practicality, and ability to transform security practices into intelligence-driven operations.

Summary

The text is a preface and introduction to a book on intelligence-driven incident response, focusing on the evolution and importance of cyber threat intelligence. It begins with acknowledgments to family, friends, and colleagues for their support during the writing process, especially during the COVID-19 lockdowns. The authors express gratitude to first responders, essential workers, and a café that provided sustenance during this time.

Importance of Intelligence in Incident Response

The text discusses the critical role of intelligence in incident response, emphasizing the need for decision-makers to have accurate information to make informed choices. Intelligence has evolved from military and national security contexts to become essential in organizational operations, particularly in network security.

Historical Context

The history of cyber threat intelligence is explored through key events:

  • The Cuckoo’s Egg (1986): Cliff Stoll discovered unauthorized access at Lawrence Berkeley National Laboratory, marking the first documented case of cyberespionage. This incident highlighted the importance of understanding attackers to protect networks and informed future policies.

  • Morris Worm (1988): Robert T. Morris released a worm that crashed 6,000 computers, leading to the creation of the Computer Emergency Response Team (CERT) to address cyberattacks. This event underscored the need for quick attack attribution to avoid geopolitical tensions.

  • Moonlight Maze (1998): A long-running intrusion into US government networks revealed the necessity of integrating intelligence into network defense. This incident marked a turning point in recognizing computer networks as key intelligence targets.

Modern Cyber Threat Intelligence

Cyber threats have diversified, involving not just governments but also criminals and activists. Cyber threat intelligence (CTI) analyzes adversaries’ capabilities, motivations, and goals within the cyber domain. It provides actionable insights that go beyond raw data, helping defenders anticipate and mitigate threats.

The Role of Storytelling

Effective intelligence work requires conveying information in a meaningful way to aid decision-making. The importance of storytelling in presenting data is highlighted, as it helps stakeholders understand complex security issues.

The Future of Cyber Threat Intelligence

As technology advances, so do adversaries, necessitating adaptive and structured intelligence work. The text emphasizes the ongoing need for robust intelligence processes to stay ahead of threats in an ever-evolving landscape.

In summary, the text highlights the evolution and significance of intelligence-driven incident response, underscoring the need for comprehensive understanding and communication of cyber threats to protect organizational networks.

Summary

The evolving landscape of cybersecurity necessitates a shift towards intelligence-driven incident response, which integrates threat intelligence into security operations. This approach requires analysts to not only detect threats at the perimeter but also delve deeper into networks, examining user systems, servers, and third-party services to identify and understand attackers.

Intelligence-Driven Incident Response

Intelligence is defined as refined data that aids stakeholders in decision-making. In incident response, intelligence is gathered, analyzed, and used to support actions against cyber threats. This process is continuous, feeding back into the intelligence cycle and informing future security measures.

Key components of intelligence-driven incident response include:

  • Direction: Setting goals for intelligence gathering.
  • Collection: Gathering relevant data.
  • Processing and Analysis: Refining data into actionable intelligence.
  • Dissemination and Feedback: Sharing findings to improve ongoing operations.

This approach helps identify weaknesses in network defenses and understand attackers’ tactics, motivations, and goals. It also supports broader applications such as network defense and user awareness training.

Case Studies

Operation SMN: This operation highlighted the effectiveness of intelligence-driven response. The Axiom Group, a sophisticated threat actor, was identified through coordinated efforts that revealed complex malware behavior and strategic targeting. The intelligence cycle was effectively employed, leading to the eradication of 43,000 malware installations.

SolarWinds Incident: In December 2020, a massive intrusion was discovered in SolarWinds, affecting over 18,000 customers. The response involved rapid sharing of intelligence and indicators of compromise, illustrating how intelligence-driven incident response can mitigate widespread threats and inform future defense strategies.

Ransomware and Financially Motivated Threats

The rise of ransomware highlights the evolving threat landscape. Attackers encrypt data and demand ransoms, using similar tactics across different targets. Intelligence-driven incident response can help detect breaches early, before encryption occurs.

Conclusion

Intelligence-driven incident response is crucial for adapting to the ever-changing threat environment. By understanding attackers’ motivations and methods, defenders can better prevent, detect, and respond to threats. This structured approach is essential for developing effective security strategies tailored to an organization’s needs.

Intelligence Basics

Intelligence analysis involves gathering and analyzing data to provide actionable insights. Unlike typical research, intelligence work deals with adversaries who actively conceal their activities. Key differences include:

  • Secrecy: Information may be intentionally hidden.
  • Timeliness: Analysis must be prompt to remain relevant.
  • Reproducibility: Findings are often unique and not easily replicated.

Understanding the distinction between data and intelligence is crucial. Data is raw information, while intelligence is processed data that provides context and supports decision-making.

By integrating intelligence into incident response, organizations can enhance their security posture and better anticipate and counter threats.

In information security, data such as IP addresses or domains are mere facts without analysis. When analyzed, they become intelligence, which is crucial for decision-making. Intelligence must reach its intended audience promptly to be effective. Intelligence analysis combines journalism’s dynamics with scientific problem-solving, transforming data into actionable insights.

Indicators of Compromise (IOCs) were once equated with threat intelligence but are just one aspect. They help detect threats and are valuable for post-incident analysis. Intelligence is derived from various sources, known as INTs, including:

  • HUMINT: Human-source intelligence from interactions or covert methods.
  • SIGINT: Signals intelligence from intercepted communications.
  • OSINT: Open source intelligence from public sources.
  • IMINT: Imagery intelligence from visual data.
  • MASINT: Measurement and signature intelligence from technical means.
  • GEOINT: Geospatial intelligence from location-based data.

Cyber threat intelligence often involves specific methods like incident investigations, honeypots, and monitoring forums. These methods provide rich data for analysis.

Military terminology influences intelligence, but its usefulness varies. Analysts use models to manage the vast data and generate insights. Models, like the Diamond Model of Intrusion Analysis, help structure information for analysis. They enable collaboration by making mental processes explicit.

The OODA loop (Observe, Orient, Decide, Act) is a decision-making model used in security. It involves collecting information, contextualizing it, deciding on actions, and executing them. This cycle helps defenders respond to threats effectively.

Overall, intelligence is about transforming data into actionable insights through structured analysis, using diverse sources and models to guide decision-making and collaboration.

In cybersecurity, the OODA loop (Observe, Orient, Decide, Act) is crucial for both attackers and defenders. The side that adapts faster often prevails. However, predicting adversarial responses is complex due to human unpredictability. To mitigate this, defenders should align their actions with their core mission, whether it’s safeguarding data or public safety.

Beyond attacker-defender dynamics, defender-defender interactions are important. Actions like sharing incident response information can create race conditions among defenders. If attackers adapt quickly to shared intelligence, they can outmaneuver other defenders. Thus, defenders must consider the broader impact of their actions and aim to slow adversaries’ OODA loops while accelerating their own.

The intelligence cycle is a structured process for generating and evaluating intelligence, consisting of six steps: direction, collection, processing, analysis, dissemination, and feedback.

  1. Direction: Establish clear questions that intelligence should answer, often derived from stakeholder requirements.

  2. Collection: Gather data from diverse sources, ensuring redundancy for corroboration. Building a broad collection capability is crucial as the relevance of data may not be immediately apparent.

  3. Processing: Convert collected data into usable formats. This includes normalizing data, indexing for searchability, translating, enriching with metadata, filtering irrelevant information, and prioritizing critical data.

  4. Analysis: Interpret data using analytic models to identify connections and make assessments. Analysis must address the initial questions, acknowledging any information gaps that may require additional data collection.

  5. Dissemination: Share intelligence with stakeholders in a usable format. Tailor the presentation to the audience, whether executives or technical teams.

  6. Feedback: Evaluate whether the intelligence met its objectives. Success may lead to further inquiries, while failure requires reassessment of the process.

Effective intelligence hinges on the quality of data sources and analysis. Understanding the collection method and the date of data acquisition is essential, as most cyber threat data is perishable. Analysts must be aware of biases in their analysis to ensure the generation of high-quality intelligence.

The intelligence cycle is a versatile model applicable to various scenarios, from understanding new threat groups to answering specific stakeholder questions. However, following the steps does not guarantee good intelligence; the quality of sources and analysis is paramount.

Understanding the context and timing of data collection is crucial for effective analysis and action. Analysts must be aware of biases like confirmation and anchoring biases, which can skew analysis. Intelligence is categorized into tactical, operational, and strategic levels, each serving different purposes and audiences.

Tactical Intelligence involves low-level, specific information that aids security operations and incident response, such as Indicators of Compromise (IOCs) and tactics, techniques, and procedures (TTPs). It helps in immediate threat mitigation, like identifying malicious IPs or domains.

Operational Intelligence supports broader logistical operations and includes information on campaigns, actor attribution, and higher-order TTPs. It requires timely action and involves complexities in decision-making, balancing urgency with potential long-term impacts.

Strategic Intelligence aids in high-level decision-making by providing insights into threat trends and actor motivations. It supports executives in risk assessments and strategic planning, often requiring a holistic view of threats.

Confidence Levels in intelligence reflect the trust in the accuracy of information, often assessed through systems like the Admiralty Code, which evaluates source reliability and information content. Sherman Kent’s work on estimative probability provides qualitative ways to express confidence in analysis.

The field of intelligence is built on structured processes to counter biases and ensure rigorous analysis. It is integral to incident response, which involves detecting and responding to intrusions. Models like the OODA loop help in understanding and planning responses.

The Incident-Response Cycle includes Preparation, Identification, Containment, Eradication, Recovery, and Lessons Learned. Preparation involves hardening systems, deploying detection capabilities, and practicing response plans. Identification is the phase where adversary activity is detected, leading to investigation. Containment involves immediate actions to limit adversary impact, such as disabling network access or blocking malicious infrastructure.

Preparation is crucial, allowing defenders to leverage their understanding of the environment to counter the adversary’s advantage of surprise. Effective preparation includes mapping the attack surface, ensuring visibility, hardening systems, establishing processes, and practicing response strategies.

In summary, intelligence and incident response are interconnected fields that require understanding biases, confidence levels, and structured processes to effectively manage and mitigate threats.

Incident response involves several key phases: Containment, Eradication, Recovery, and Lessons Learned. Each phase plays a critical role in managing and mitigating security incidents effectively.

Containment

Containment is most effective against less-sophisticated threats like commodity malware. However, it can alert sophisticated adversaries, prompting them to establish new tools or backdoors. For such adversaries, moving directly to Eradication may be preferable.

Eradication

Eradication involves long-term actions to remove adversaries and prevent re-entry. This includes removing malware, resetting credentials, and hardening the network. A scorched-earth approach may be used, applying remediations even on resources without clear compromise signs. This can be labor-intensive, requiring collaboration with risk management and system owners.

Wiping and Reloading

Debate exists between wiping systems versus malware removal. While antivirus claims to remove malware, experienced responders often prefer a full system wipe and reload. This approach is facilitated by cloud tools like Ansible and Kubernetes, though it requires ensuring no compromised dependencies are redeployed.

Recovery

Recovery restores systems to a non-incident state, reversing actions taken during containment and eradication. It involves coordination between security and IT teams. Effective collaboration is crucial, as premature recovery actions can compromise the response.

Lessons Learned

The final phase involves evaluating the response to improve future efforts. This includes assessing what happened, what went well, and what could improve. Despite resistance due to fear of blame or time constraints, this phase is essential for advancing incident-response capabilities.

The Kill Chain

The kill chain is a model describing adversary actions during an intrusion, focusing on steps like Targeting and Reconnaissance. It helps defenders understand and disrupt adversary tactics, techniques, and procedures (TTPs). Targeting involves deciding what to attack, revealing adversary motivations. Reconnaissance gathers information about the target, using active or passive methods, and can involve both hard (technical) and soft (organizational) data.

Reconnaissance

Reconnaissance collects data about the target, categorized into hard data (technical) and soft data (organizational). Collection methods can be active, requiring direct interaction, or passive, using third-party information. Detecting reconnaissance varies; active methods are easier to spot than passive ones.

Conclusion

The incident-response cycle is crucial for managing security incidents, emphasizing the importance of each phase, from preparation to lessons learned. Understanding models like the kill chain aids in conceptualizing adversary actions and improving defensive strategies.

Summary

GreyNoise and Reconnaissance

GreyNoise is useful for identifying systems scanning and attempting to exploit vulnerabilities, such as during the Log4J exploitation in late 2021. It helps in blocking malicious IPs and identifying adversary strings early on, but its efficacy diminishes as more parties begin scanning, increasing noise.

Weaponization

Weaponization involves finding vulnerabilities and crafting exploits to deliver to targets. Adversaries seek mismatches between software intention and implementation to exploit. They must decide between targeting widely used software with known defenses or more obscure software with fewer defenses but limited deployment. This decision is influenced by their intelligence requirements.

Vulnerability Hunting

Vulnerability hunting impacts target selection. Widely used software like Microsoft Windows is heavily defended, while niche software may be less secure but less prevalent. Adversaries weigh these factors, as seen in the Stuxnet incident targeting Siemens PLCs. Defenders counter this by using security development practices and strong patch management to reduce vulnerabilities.

Exploitability

Exploitation involves triggering vulnerabilities to gain control. This requires crafting reliable exploits, which can be challenging due to language packs and defenses like ASLR. Successful exploitation provides adversaries a method to access targets.

Implant Development

Implants maintain access without repeated exploitation. They are developed with stealth and functionality, enabling adversaries to achieve goals like data exfiltration. Implants can be beaconing or non-beaconing, determined by network topology and device type. Some attacks, like the compromise of John Podesta’s email, succeed without implants, making investigation harder.

Testing

Testing ensures exploits and implants function as intended and remain undetectable by security tools. Detectability testing is crucial, as security systems look for behaviors indicating malicious activity.

Infrastructure Development

Infrastructure supports malicious code deployment. Adversaries use command-and-control servers, exfiltration points, and hot points. They require certificates for code signing and TLS to avoid security warnings. Adversaries use servers, domains, and email addresses for delivery and communication.

Nontechnical Infrastructure Needs

Adversaries need identities and currency to set up infrastructure. They use pseudonyms, fake identities, and semi-anonymous payment systems like cryptocurrency. Some use compromised systems for infrastructure, while others leverage free online services.

Delivery

Delivery involves sending weaponized exploits to targets, often via spear phishing or exploiting web services. This stage is the first active interaction with the target, providing potential indicators of compromise.

Exploitation

Exploitation occurs when adversaries gain control of code execution, marking the start of their move into the network. This involves executing their code, establishing a foothold, and beginning the adversary’s network infiltration.

Installation

Once code execution is achieved, adversaries seek to maintain persistence by installing backdoors or remote-access Trojans, ensuring continued access to compromised systems.

Adversaries typically begin by establishing persistence on a compromised system using rootkits or remote-access Trojans (RATs), which allow them to evade detection and maintain access. They often aim to extend their reach across multiple systems, using captured credentials or native tools like PsExec or SSH. This network persistence involves accessing broadly used network resources such as VPNs or cloud services, reducing the need for malware and lowering detection risks.

Once persistence is achieved, adversaries require command and control (C2) channels to send instructions. Historically, this involved IRC channels or HTTP calls, but modern methods include DNS lookups and social media. Some malware operates autonomously, like Stuxnet, which was designed for air-gapped networks, requiring defenders to focus on identifying and eradicating malware directly on systems.

The ultimate goal of these intrusions, known as Actions on Objective (AoO), often involves data exfiltration, as data is highly valuable. Adversaries may also pivot within networks, moving from less critical systems to high-value targets. Other AoO include destruction, denial, degradation, disruption, and deception, each affecting the target’s infrastructure or information integrity.

The incident-response cycle begins with identifying these attacks, ideally during the Delivery phase to prevent execution. If detected later, during C2 or AoO phases, the response becomes complex and resource-intensive.

The Kill Chain model outlines the stages of an attack, from targeting and reconnaissance to weaponization and delivery. For example, a fictitious group, Grey Spike, might target election campaigns by sending weaponized documents that exploit vulnerabilities, leading to RAT installation and network access expansion.

The Diamond Model complements the Kill Chain by categorizing attacks into events involving an adversary, capability, infrastructure, and victim. This model helps visualize the interactions and motivations of attacks, aiding in strategic planning and response.

MITRE’s ATT&CK framework further enhances these models by providing a knowledge base of adversary tactics and techniques, helping analysts develop threat models and methodologies. It categorizes adversary actions into tactics (the “why”) and techniques (the “how”), offering a structured approach to understanding and mitigating cyber threats.

Summary

Intrusion Activity and ATT&CK Framework

Intrusion activity is tracked by analysts using terms like threat groups, activity groups, and campaigns. The MITRE ATT&CK framework is a widely used model for understanding adversary tactics and techniques observed during network operations. ATT&CK provides a matrix form of tactics and techniques, serving as a resource for incident responders and intelligence teams. It extends beyond government use and is employed by vendors, security teams, and researchers.

Security Teams: Red, Blue, Purple, and Black

  • Blue Team: Focuses on defense, including intrusion detection and incident response.
  • Red Team: Conducts offensive security tests to improve defenses.
  • Purple Team: Integrates blue and red teams to enhance collaboration and feedback.
  • Black Team: Represents actual attackers, though the term is less common.

D3FEND Framework

D3FEND, created with NSA funding, complements ATT&CK by detailing defensive countermeasures. It links defensive techniques to offensive techniques, potentially guiding system hardening and detection strategies.

Active Defense

Active defense aims to disrupt adversaries without engaging in illegal activities like hacking back. It includes:

  • Deny: Blocking adversary access preemptively.
  • Disrupt: Actively interfering with adversary operations.
  • Degrade: Reducing adversary resources during use.
  • Deceive: Misleading adversaries with false information.
  • Destroy: Reserved for authorized entities like law enforcement.

F3EAD Framework

F3EAD combines intelligence and operations cycles to enhance incident response and intelligence generation:

  • Find: Identifying threats using various intelligence sources.
  • Fix: Locating adversaries in the network.
  • Finish: Conducting incident response actions.
  • Exploit: Gathering intelligence from adversary actions.
  • Analyze: Assessing implications and deriving actionable insights.
  • Disseminate: Sharing intelligence with decision-makers effectively.

Conclusion

Frameworks like ATT&CK, D3FEND, and F3EAD provide structured approaches to cybersecurity, integrating offensive and defensive strategies with intelligence cycles. Active defense and collaboration between security teams enhance the ability to anticipate and respond to threats effectively.

Understanding the audience is crucial for effective intelligence dissemination. Audiences typically include tactical teams, strategic management, and third-party groups. Tactical teams focus on Indicators of Compromise (IOCs) and Techniques, Tactics, and Procedures (TTPs), while strategic management is interested in generalized TTPs for future planning. Third-party groups require a tailored approach based on collaboration goals.

The F3EAD (Find, Fix, Finish, Exploit, Analyze, Disseminate) cycle is essential for integrating threat intelligence and incident response. This model creates a loop where security operations inform intelligence and vice versa, enhancing both processes. The cycle can be applied beyond security operations to areas like vulnerability management.

Choosing the right model for incident response depends on factors like time, data type, and analyst preference. Models such as the Diamond Model or OODA loop are useful depending on the situation.

The book explores intelligence-driven incident response using the F3EAD model, focusing on a scenario named “Road Runner,” involving a fictitious attack group, Grey Spike. The process involves identifying adversaries, investigating their activities, removing them, and exploiting data to gain insights. This intelligence is then disseminated in useful formats.

The Find phase is crucial for identifying adversaries. Various targeting methods include actor-centric, victim-centric, and infrastructure-centric approaches. Actor-centric targeting involves unraveling an attacker’s tactics and techniques, often requiring persistence and luck. Understanding an actor’s motivations and methods helps build a target package for further operations.

David J. Bianco’s Pyramid of Pain illustrates the difficulty of changing various types of threat information. The goal is to gather information higher up the pyramid, which is harder for adversaries to alter, thus providing more valuable intelligence.

Indicators of Compromise (IOCs) are basic yet essential data points in threat analysis. While they provide a starting point, more strategic intelligence is needed for comprehensive threat mitigation.

In conclusion, models provide structure to incident response processes. Familiarity with these models aids in selecting the appropriate approach for different incidents, ultimately enhancing threat intelligence and response capabilities.

In cybersecurity, Indicators of Compromise (IOCs) are crucial for identifying known threats and attacker methodologies. IOCs include filesystem indicators like file hashes, memory indicators such as strings, and network indicators like IP addresses. These indicators help in monitoring and responding to threats. More complex to alter are attacker behaviors, captured as Tactics, Techniques, and Procedures (TTPs) at the top of the Pyramid of Pain. Understanding behaviors is essential for mapping an attacker’s methods within the kill chain, which includes phases like reconnaissance, weaponization, and exploitation.

Actor-centric targeting begins with the kill chain, allowing analysts to use known information about an attack to predict and investigate other phases. For instance, if an attack uses macros in Word documents, analysts can look for related privilege escalation artifacts. Building a kill chain, even with gaps, provides a structured approach to understanding and anticipating attacker actions.

The text also discusses a case study involving a campaign named “Road Runner,” where phishing emails targeted election campaign staff. These emails contained weaponized PDFs exploiting a known vulnerability (CVE-2018-4916). The kill chain for Road Runner was developed using both external reports and internal findings, highlighting the importance of documenting and filling in knowledge gaps during incident response.

Goals of attackers are inferred from their actions and remain consistent even if their methods change. Understanding these goals is crucial for tracking adversaries. Sometimes attackers may “moonlight,” shifting their goals but using the same TTPs, which can indicate new strategic interests.

Victim-centric targeting focuses on understanding the impact on victims, which can provide insights into the adversary’s objectives. This approach uses the Diamond Model to capture relationships between victims and adversaries, infrastructure, and capabilities. Key questions include why certain victims were targeted and what commonalities they share. This method helps identify additional malicious activities and potential future targets.

In summary, effective cybersecurity involves understanding both the technical indicators of attacks and the broader behaviors and goals of adversaries. Using structured models like the kill chain and Diamond Model aids in organizing information and developing strategies to counter threats. The Road Runner case study exemplifies the application of these concepts in real-world incident response.

Summary

Asset-Centric Targeting
Asset-centric targeting focuses on protecting specific technologies, even without confirmed adversary activity. It is particularly useful for systems like industrial control systems (ICS), which require domain knowledge to attack. This method helps limit attackers based on their ability to understand and exploit specific systems. The approach involves identifying the types of systems being protected and understanding who is capable of attacking them. Third-party research can aid both attackers and defenders by providing insights into potential vulnerabilities.

Using Asset-Centric Targeting
Organizations developing unique technologies, such as ICS or IoT devices, benefit most from asset-centric targeting. It requires a customized approach similar to a kill chain. In the Road Runner scenario, phishing emails targeting PDF reader vulnerabilities were identified, but specifics on system targeting remain unclear. The focus is on gathering more information to address gaps in understanding adversary activity.

Capability-Centric Targeting
This approach involves identifying adversaries based on their tools and methods. It emphasizes using the least sophisticated tools necessary for achieving goals, thus preventing overlooking simple methods. Analysts can use tools like VirusTotal to identify additional information from malware hashes or filenames. Capability-centric targeting helps in clustering similar items for deeper insights. It’s crucial to avoid excessive pivoting and focus on relevant information.

Using Malware to Identify Threat Actors
Attributing attacks based on malware alone is outdated due to widespread sharing and repurposing of tools. Instead, a combination of goals, motivations, and behaviors should be considered. Identifying previously used malware can still provide useful information during investigations.

Media-Centric Targeting
Media-centric targeting often arises from executive requests based on news reports. It involves analyzing current events to determine their relevance to an organization. The goal is to distill broad queries into focused investigations, potentially identifying risks like intellectual property theft from state-sponsored actors.

Targeting Based on Third-Party Notification
Third-party notifications of breaches provide initial targeting information, such as indicators or actor details. Establishing confidentiality and operational security is crucial for effective information sharing. Organizations benefit from participating in information-sharing groups, balancing receiving and contributing intelligence.

Prioritizing Targeting
Prioritization in the Find phase is essential. Immediate needs, such as stakeholder requests, take precedence. Past incidents offer valuable insights for detecting future attacks, especially from opportunistic or persistent attackers. Criticality varies by organization, prioritizing issues with higher operational impact.

Organizing Targeting Activities
Organizing and vetting information from the Find phase involves categorizing data into manageable formats. This preparation ensures readiness for subsequent phases of threat intelligence processes.

In the incident response process, distinguishing between hard and soft leads is crucial. Hard leads are directly related to known incidents, whereas soft leads may indicate potential threats but require further investigation. During the Find phase, identifying and categorizing these leads helps streamline subsequent actions. Proper documentation and storage of leads, using tools like spreadsheets or threat-intelligence platforms, are vital for efficient workflow and team visibility.

The Request for Information (RFI) process is also important, providing a structured way for external stakeholders to request intelligence. This process should include details like the request, requestor, expected output, references, and priority. Implementing a formal RFI system can help manage high volumes of informal requests.

The Find phase is the first step in the F3EAD intelligence cycle, setting the stage for subsequent phases like Fix. It involves identifying threats and organizing information to prepare for targeted actions. Proper documentation and prioritization during this phase are essential for a smooth transition to the Fix phase.

In the Fix phase, intelligence gathered is used to detect adversary activities through indicators of compromise and behavioral patterns. This phase supports intrusion detection by integrating intelligence into network and system alerting. Network alerting identifies malicious traffic, while system alerting detects attacker presence on endpoints. External reflections, such as data on dark web marketplaces, can also provide insights into intrusions.

Network alerting involves monitoring traffic for signs of attacker communications. However, alerting on reconnaissance often results in high noise due to constant scanning activities. Instead, focusing on the Delivery phase, where attackers deliver payloads via email or websites, is more effective. Alerting on email attachments, links, and metadata can help detect phishing attempts and other malicious activities.

Credential reuse remains a significant threat, as attackers exploit weak or reused passwords to gain access. Monitoring for unusual login patterns, such as logins from unexpected locations or concurrent logins, can help detect unauthorized access. Training users to report suspicious activities can also aid in early detection.

In summary, the Find and Fix phases involve identifying and categorizing leads, documenting intelligence, and using it to detect and respond to threats. Proper organization and integration of intelligence into detection systems are key to effective incident response.

In the realm of cybersecurity, detecting suspicious logins and activities is crucial. When an attacker infiltrates a network, logs can be used for identifying suspicious activities, leading to password resets and the implementation of two-factor authentication (2FA). Command and control (C2) is a critical phase where attackers communicate with malware, resulting in network communication. Detecting C2 involves analyzing destination addresses, content, frequency, and duration of communications. Known malicious IPs and domains can be blacklisted, and unexpected geographic destinations flagged. Malware often uses encrypted messages, sometimes mismatched with protocols, to evade detection. Regular communication intervals, or beacons, help identify patterns, aiding in detection.

C2 trends have evolved, with attackers using shared resources like social media for communication, complicating detection. Tools must understand organizational services to identify unknown resources. Some malware operates without C2, especially in secure environments, requiring focus on delivery and impact for detection.

Data exfiltration, often the goal of attacks, involves moving large data volumes from victim systems to attacker-controlled systems. Detection strategies include data-loss prevention tools and analyzing metadata around network connections. Monitoring network activity helps understand attacker behavior.

System monitoring complements network alerting, focusing on specific phases of the kill chain, such as initial access, execution, persistence, and privilege escalation. Tools must integrate with operating systems for effective alerting. Exploitation alerting focuses on tracking new or modified processes, indicating intrusion. Installation alerting involves detecting actions that maintain access, such as installing remote-access Trojans (RATs).

Impact alerting involves monitoring actions like creating, reading, updating, and deleting files. Ransomware, for example, reads, encrypts, and deletes files. Understanding attacker goals, such as intellectual property theft, helps tailor detection strategies.

The Road Runner campaign by Grey Spike involves spear-phishing, web compromises, and tools like Hikit and Derusbi. Detecting Road Runner involves monitoring network activity for spear-phishing emails and compromised websites, and system activity for exploitation of known vulnerabilities like CVE-2013-3893.

Overall, effective intrusion detection requires understanding attacker tactics, techniques, and procedures (TTPs), and leveraging tools and intelligence to identify and respond to threats.

The text discusses various aspects of intrusion detection and investigation, focusing on techniques and tools used in network security. It begins by highlighting the importance of understanding vulnerabilities and the tools commonly used by attackers, such as Road Runner, to enhance network defense strategies. The document emphasizes the need for identifying files and directories generated during installation phases and understanding the impact of potential data breaches.

Intrusion Investigation:

The intrusion investigation process involves separating alerting from investigation workflows. Alerting focuses on identifying specific malicious activities, while investigation aims to gather extensive data for context and analysis. Key techniques in intrusion investigation include:

  1. Network Analysis:
    • Traffic Analysis: Utilizes metadata to identify adversary activities based on connection patterns rather than content. Analysts look for connections to known malicious IPs, frequent short-duration communications, and unusual data transfers.
    • Signature-Based Analysis: Involves monitoring specific content using intrusion detection systems (IDS) with predefined rules (e.g., Snort signatures) to detect known threats.
    • Full Content Analysis: Captures every bit of network traffic, allowing for comprehensive analysis and reanalysis of stored data. It provides the ability to recreate user activities and apply new intelligence to past data.

Traffic Analysis:

Traffic analysis is a foundational technique that uses metadata, such as endpoints, ports, and connection durations, to discern malicious activities. It is cost-effective and allows for long-term data storage and analysis. Tools like NetFlow, Bro, SiLK, and Argus facilitate traffic analysis by capturing network flow data. The text highlights the importance of applying intelligence to traffic analysis to identify patterns of anomalous activity and generate leads for further investigation.

Signature-Based Analysis:

Signature-based analysis relies on IDS to monitor network traffic for specific patterns. Snort signatures are a common standard, allowing for alert generation based on predefined rules. The effectiveness of this analysis depends on the accurate creation, modification, and removal of signatures. Analysts must have access to both known good and bad traffic to test and refine signatures.

Full Content Analysis:

Full content analysis provides the most detailed view of network traffic, enabling the reanalysis of data with new intelligence. Despite its storage challenges, it allows for the reconstruction of user activities and the application of new tools and configurations. This technique is particularly valuable for developing signatures, extracting files, and identifying protocol anomalies.

Application of Intelligence:

Intelligence can be applied across all analysis techniques, enhancing the detection and understanding of malicious activities. Full content analysis, in particular, offers flexibility in applying intelligence, allowing for detailed packet-level analysis and the reapplication of intelligence to historical data.

Overall, the text underscores the importance of using a combination of traffic, signature-based, and full content analysis to effectively detect and investigate network intrusions. Each technique offers unique advantages and challenges, and their integration is crucial for comprehensive network security management.

Summary

In the realm of cybersecurity, several advanced techniques and tools are crucial for detecting, analyzing, and responding to threats. Here’s a comprehensive overview of these methods:

Live Response

Live response involves analyzing potentially compromised systems without taking them offline, preserving system state information like active processes. This method collects configuration information, system state, and persistence mechanisms. Initially, tools like OSXCollector and FastIR were used, but many have been deprecated as they were manual and time-consuming. Today, automation and integration with intelligence sources enhance live response efficiency.

Memory Analysis

Memory analysis focuses on volatile system states, providing insights into processes and potential stealthy threats. Tools like Mandiant’s Redline and the Volatility framework are prominent. Redline collects system memory and uses OpenIOC for analysis, while Volatility, a Python-based framework, reads memory formats from various tools. Integrating intelligence, such as Yara signatures, is tool-dependent and enhances detection capabilities.

Disk Analysis

Disk forensics involves extracting filesystem information from hard drives. Tools like EnCase and FTK perform file carving, making system data accessible for analysis. Analysts can browse systems, export files, and examine logs. Disk analysis is less volatile than other methods and allows revisiting data as needed. Challenges include encryption, which complicates data extraction, but EDR tools help by operating on live systems.

Enterprise Detection and Response (EDR)

EDR tools integrate various investigative functions into single packages, enabling threat detection, system state collection, and post-compromise remediation. Examples include SentinelOne and CrowdStrike Falcon. EDR systems offer comprehensive solutions but may have trade-offs in coverage and platform support. Successful integration requires careful selection, training, and continuous process development.

Malware Analysis

Malware analysis is a critical part of incident response, involving static and dynamic techniques. Basic static analysis gathers metadata like file hashes and types, while dynamic analysis runs malware in controlled environments to observe behavior. Advanced static analysis, or reverse engineering, dissects malware at the code level using disassemblers. This deep understanding aids in developing detection intelligence.

Overall, these cybersecurity practices emphasize the need for a well-rounded approach combining various tools and techniques to effectively manage and respond to threats. Continuous learning and adaptation to new technologies and methods are essential for maintaining robust security measures.

Reverse engineering is crucial for understanding malware and exploits, with tools like IDA Pro and Ghidra being essential. Reverse engineers often create custom tools to counter anti-reversing measures and improve workflows, sometimes sharing them as open source. The complexity of static analysis means it’s reserved for significant samples, often requiring high-end security teams. When teams lack daily reverse engineering needs, they can work with firms on retainer.

Malware analysis is data-rich and reveals indicators, tactics, and capabilities, aiding detection and alerting. Intelligence can guide reverse engineers, focusing efforts on specific areas like network connectivity or persistence mechanisms. Learning malware analysis requires understanding programming, OS concepts, and malware actions, with resources like “Malware Analyst’s Cookbook” and “Practical Malware Analysis” being invaluable.

Scoping during an incident helps determine affected resources, influencing response strategies. Identifying patterns among affected systems can provide deeper attack insights. Effective scoping relies on inventory management and collaboration with IT teams, using IOCs and behavior patterns.

Hunting is proactive, searching for IOCs without alerts, requiring planning, process, and good intelligence. It’s about developing hypotheses from past incidents, organizational profiles, and vulnerability assessments. Testing hypotheses helps avoid false positives, refining leads for effective detection.

Integrating intelligence into alerting, investigation, and hunting enhances processes and training. Alerting identifies essential information, while investigation gathers context for understanding incidents. Mastering these allows for proactive hunting of undetected malicious activity, aiming to understand the incident scope and plan a response.

The Finish phase involves removing threats and understanding how they accessed the network. It focuses on eradicating footholds, communication channels, and redundant access. Unlike hacking back, which is illegal and risky, Finish focuses on resources you control. It involves mitigation, remediation, and rearchitecting, with mitigation being the first step to prevent further intrusion.

Mitigation involves temporary steps to prevent intrusion escalation, coordinated to avoid tipping off adversaries. It includes blocking delivery methods and command and control channels. Proper planning and execution ensure adversaries can’t maintain access, allowing for successful remediation and network control.

Overall, the process of reverse engineering, malware analysis, and incident response is about understanding threats, applying intelligence, and executing strategic actions to secure networks and systems effectively.

Summary

In cybersecurity, attackers often set up alternative access points, such as installing secondary Remote Access Trojans (RATs) with longer communication intervals to avoid detection. Even if primary tools are removed, attackers can regain access. To counter this, revoking sessions when changing passwords is crucial, as compromised sessions can allow adversaries to maintain control. Application-specific passwords, often overlooked, should also be addressed as they can provide long-term access.

Mitigation Strategies:

  • Immediate Mitigation: Stakeholders often demand quick action to limit adversary access to sensitive information or critical systems. This involves reducing network transport options, stopping malware, and possibly shutting down affected resources. Network access controls and limiting outbound connections are essential, but on-system responses may also be necessary.

  • Road Runner Campaign: This campaign accessed networks via spear-phishing emails. To prevent reestablishment, emails are rerouted to a sandbox for analysis. Raising staff awareness is crucial, as opening emails from unknown senders is a daily task. Command-and-control activities are blocked at firewalls and system levels, and password resets across the environment are enforced to revoke compromised credentials.

Remediation Process:

  • Exploitation Remediation: This typically involves patching vulnerabilities. If a patch is unavailable, isolating systems or enforcing strict access controls is necessary. Custom code requires collaboration with internal teams for security issues.

  • Social Engineering: Training users to recognize attacks is vital, as technical solutions alone are insufficient.

  • Installation Remediation: Removing malware may involve reformatting systems to ensure complete eradication. Antivirus solutions may not always succeed, and low-level malware persistence, though rare, can complicate decisions.

  • Actions on Objective: Remediation may involve blocking network activity, invalidating stolen credentials, or reporting compromised resources. Collaboration and creativity are often required to address these issues effectively.

Road Runner Remediation:

  • System Rebuilding: Compromised systems are rebuilt, except for critical servers like domain controllers, which require a different approach. New systems are configured with allow-lists to detect unauthorized activity.

  • CVE-2018-4916: Patch outdated systems and monitor credential usage to prevent adversary access.

Rearchitecture:

  • Strategic Changes: Incident-response data is used to identify trends and address vulnerabilities at a strategic level. This may involve system configuration tweaks, user training, or complete network rearchitecture.

  • Road Runner’s Impact: The campaign highlighted issues like outdated systems and inadequate authentication controls. Addressing these requires long-term investments and strategic planning.

In conclusion, effective cybersecurity involves a balance of immediate mitigation, thorough remediation, and strategic rearchitecture to prevent future breaches.

Summary

Effective adversary activity management requires comprehensive strategic, operational, and tactical planning. A well-coordinated plan ensures timely actions, preventing chaos and missed opportunities to address adversary infrastructure. Missing compromised elements like machines or credentials can create a false sense of security.

Key Defensive Actions:

  1. Deny: This initial response aims to remove attackers’ access by changing credentials, removing backdoors, and preventing lateral movement within the network. Identifying access methods during the Find phase is crucial for complete denial.

  2. Disrupt: When denying access isn’t feasible, disruption forces attackers to take ineffective actions, restricting their operations and access to targeted information. This involves additional access controls and alerting systems.

  3. Degrade: Unlike binary deny/disrupt actions, degradation reduces the effectiveness of adversary actions by slowing down their operations, such as throttling bandwidth for command-and-control communications.

  4. Deceive: Deception involves misleading attackers with false information or honeypots to divert their efforts. This requires careful balancing to avoid detection and is best suited for advanced operations.

  5. Destroy: Physical destruction of compromised systems is rarely advisable since actions occur within your network. Removing outdated systems is a more appropriate response.

Incident Data Organization:

Recording incident details is critical, focusing on initial leads, attacker tactics, compromised hosts, and response actions. A single source of truth ensures coordinated efforts among responders. Tools for tracking actions range from personal notes to spreadsheets and purpose-built systems.

  • Personal Notes: Analysts often start with personal notes, which are valuable for individual investigations but less useful for team-wide exploitation.

  • Spreadsheet of Doom (SOD): Teams often use spreadsheets to track indicators of compromise, compromised resources, and response actions. Consistency in format is crucial for effective use.

  • Third-party Tools: Non-purpose-built tools like Kanban boards or wikis can be adapted for incident management, emphasizing usability, automation potential, and integration with workflows.

  • Purpose-Built Tools: Dedicated systems like FIR offer integration and customization, balancing utility and flexibility for incident response and threat intelligence operations.

Conclusion:

Efficient incident response requires a structured approach, leveraging various defensive actions and organized data management. The choice of tools and methods should align with team capabilities and incident complexity, ensuring effective mitigation and long-term security improvements.

Summary

In the incident response process, assessing the damage is crucial, often involving collaboration with business units, IT, sales, and insurance teams. Quantifying incidents in monetary terms is essential for law enforcement engagement, which may depend on jurisdiction-specific thresholds.

Monitoring Lifecycle

The monitoring lifecycle is a critical component, encompassing creation, testing, deployment, refinement, and retirement of detection signatures.

  • Creation: Analysts develop signatures to monitor specific observables. These can be overly specific or too generic, requiring careful balance.

  • Testing: Often skipped, testing is crucial to identify false positives. It involves using known bad and good observables, sometimes deploying in “monitor only” mode to gather statistics without alerts.

  • Deployment: After testing, signatures are deployed. Collaboration with detection teams is vital for feedback.

  • Refinement: Feedback is used to adjust signatures, making them broader or more specific. Performance optimization is also a key aspect.

  • Retirement: Signatures become obsolete when threats are mitigated or techniques fall out of use. They can be put in logging-only mode for statistical purposes.

Exploit Phase

The Exploit phase in the F3EAD cycle involves extracting and analyzing data gathered during incident response to improve future security measures. This phase is about transforming tactical advantages into strategic ones by understanding adversaries’ tactics and techniques.

  • Tactical vs. Strategic OODA Loops: The initial phases (Find, Fix, Finish) focus on tactical advantages, while Exploit, Analyze, and Disseminate aim for strategic benefits, forcing adversaries to adapt.

  • Information to Exploit: Includes technical indicators (IPs, domains), tactics and techniques (using frameworks like ATT&CK), supporting information (targeted systems), and internal actions taken.

  • Process Management: Involves gathering, storing, and managing information. Effective processes ensure that lessons learned are applied to prevent future incidents.

Conclusion

The Finish phase is pivotal in incident response. Proper execution can eliminate adversaries and enhance network security. Moving into the Exploit phase ensures that intelligence gathered is used to bolster defenses and prepare for future threats. The strategic application of this intelligence is crucial for long-term security resilience.

Incident response teams often face disorganized data during intense situations. The Exploit process aims to organize this data for effective learning and adaptation. Gathering incident-response data varies from complex systems to simple spreadsheets or notes. The goal is to extract intelligence for future use, starting with understanding available information, which can be high-level narratives or detailed technical analyses like malware functionality.

Information-Gathering Goals:

  1. Indicators of Compromise (IOCs): Despite debates on their usefulness, IOCs are still valuable for tracking adversaries.
  2. Signatures: Advanced indicators like Snort and Yara signatures can be extracted, depending on the tech stack.
  3. Tactics, Techniques, and Procedures (TTPs): Understanding adversary operations helps in strategic analysis.
  4. Strategic Data: Non-technical data, such as attribution and motivation, is crucial for high-value intelligence.

Mining Previous Incidents: Analyzing past incidents helps integrate operations and intelligence, identifying threats and information gaps. Including dates enhances the analysis.

Gathering External Information: External sources provide context and situational awareness. Similar to a literature review, this process identifies gaps and builds upon existing knowledge, enhancing the collective understanding of threats.

Extracting and Storing Threat Data: Data from investigations must be structured for future analysis. Two approaches are common: manual methods like spreadsheets and platform-based solutions. The choice of data standards depends on organizational needs.

Data Standards:

  • STIX/TAXII: Widely used for standardizing and sharing threat information. STIX 2.X uses JSON and simplifies data integration.
  • MILE Working Group: Includes IODEF and IODEF-SCI for sharing incident data with additional context.
  • OpenIOC: Developed by Mandiant, it captures forensic artifacts but is largely deprecated.

Strategic Information Storage: Technical formats like STIX may not suit strategic information, which often ends up in documents or slides. Effective storage of strategic data remains a challenge.

In summary, effective incident response requires organizing data, extracting valuable intelligence, and using appropriate standards for storing both technical and strategic information. This ensures improved threat analysis and response capabilities.

Summary

In the realm of cyber threat intelligence, storing strategic information effectively is crucial. Three primary standards for storing such information are ATT&CK, VERIS, and CAPEC.

ATT&CK

MITRE’s Adversary Tactics, Techniques, and Common Knowledge (ATT&CK) framework has become prominent in the threat intelligence community since its inception in 2013. Originally focused on Windows, it now covers Linux, macOS, mobile platforms, and more. ATT&CK categorizes attacker behaviors into tactics and techniques, providing a comprehensive model for both tactical and strategic information. The framework includes tags, fields, and relationships to capture detailed data about adversary groups, tactics, techniques, and software.

VERIS

The Vocabulary for Event Recording and Incident Sharing (VERIS) is a JSON-based standard supporting the Verizon Data Breach Incident Report (DBIR). It captures incident details across four categories: Actor, Action, Asset, and Attribute. VERIS helps organizations understand risks by providing a structured narrative of incidents, focusing more on strategic insights rather than technical specifics.

CAPEC

The Common Attack Pattern Enumeration and Classification (CAPEC) framework aids in developing secure software by identifying common attack patterns. CAPEC captures the full scope of an attack, including prerequisites, weaknesses, vulnerabilities, and attacker steps, allowing organizations to understand attacker behavior and adapt security measures accordingly.

Process for Extracting and Storing Threat Data

A structured process for data extraction and storage is essential:

  1. Identify Goals: Clearly define the intended outcomes and support requirements.
  2. Identify Tools: Determine the tools needed to achieve these goals, such as threat-intelligence platforms (TIPs) or collaboration tools.
  3. Identify Systems/Processes: Develop a systematic approach to aggregate and organize data.
  4. Launch and Iterate: Implement the process, adjusting as necessary to improve efficiency and effectiveness.

Managing Information

Proper management of information involves capturing key details such as date, source, data-handling requirements, and avoiding data duplication. The Traffic Light Protocol (TLP) is recommended for data-sharing guidelines.

Threat-Intelligence Platforms (TIPs)

TIPs simplify the process of managing threat data. They are databases with user interfaces designed for handling threat information. Popular TIPs include:

  • MISP: A free platform for managing malware-based threat data with robust sharing capabilities.
  • CRITs: An open-source tool developed by MITRE, compatible with STIX and TAXII, for storing and sharing threat information.
  • YETI: A platform for organizing and analyzing threat intelligence, offering features like indicator enrichment.

Commercial TIPs offer similar functionalities with additional support and ease of setup, ideal for organizations with limited resources.

Conclusion

The exploitation phase is critical for gathering, processing, and storing information for analysis and dissemination. Organizations should explore various options to find systems that best suit their needs for managing threat intelligence effectively.

Summary of Analyze Phase in F3EAD

The Analyze phase in the F3EAD cycle transforms data into actionable intelligence. This phase involves processing gathered information to derive insights, using models like target-centric and structured analysis, and addressing cognitive biases.

Fundamentals of Analysis

Analysis requires revisiting the intelligence cycle to decide on requirements and collect additional data to enrich existing information. During the Road Runner intrusion response, domains and IPs identified in earlier phases were analyzed to understand attacker tactics and predict future behaviors.

Dual Process Thinking

Analysis demands “slow thinking” or system 2 thinking, a concept popularized by Daniel Kahneman. This deliberate reasoning counters impulsive biases of fast thinking (system 1) and requires understanding context and potential impacts. Slow thinking helps generate insights that can be clearly articulated and defended.

Reasoning Types

  1. Deductive Reasoning: Involves deriving conclusions from universally accepted premises, useful in simple scenarios but limited in complex investigations.

  2. Inductive Reasoning: Involves generalizing from specific instances, often used in investigations but can lead to incorrect assumptions if data is incomplete.

  3. Abductive Reasoning: Combines deduction and induction, applying past rules to available information to infer plausible causes, making it ideal for investigations with imperfect data.

Case Study: The OPM Breach

The OPM breach exemplifies the failure to analyze effectively. Despite available information, missed opportunities to connect dots led to a massive data loss. Proper analysis could have mitigated the breach’s impact.

Analytic Processes and Methods

Experience in cybersecurity aids quick decision-making, but intelligence analysis requires cognitive skills like memory, logic, and reasoning. Structured Analytic Techniques (SATs) provide a step-by-step approach to counter cognitive biases and ensure reproducibility in analysis.

SATs, outlined in “Structured Analytic Techniques for Intelligence Analysis” by Pherson and Heuer, are crucial for intelligence-driven incident response, helping analysts avoid system 1 thinking flaws.

In summary, the Analyze phase is critical for transforming data into intelligence, requiring deliberate reasoning, understanding of reasoning types, and structured analytic methods to ensure accurate and actionable insights.

Analytic Techniques for Intelligence Analysis

The book categorizes Structured Analytic Techniques (SATs) into six main families, each aiding different stages of the intelligence analysis process:

  1. Getting Organized: These techniques help analysts manage data at the beginning of the analysis. Methods include sorting, ranking, and using checklists. They are particularly useful when starting from scratch or revisiting unanalyzed incident data.

  2. Exploration: Designed to generate new approaches and challenge existing biases, these techniques include brainstorming and mind mapping to explore relationships between data elements.

  3. Diagnostic: Often used in intelligence-driven incident response, these techniques mirror the scientific method. Key methods include Analysis of Competing Hypotheses, Multiple-Hypothesis Generation, and Deception Detection.

  4. Reframing: Essential for identifying biases and flawed mental models, reframing techniques like Red Hat Analysis and What If? Analysis are best conducted in groups but can also be done individually.

  5. Foresight: Although predicting the future is impossible, foresight techniques help identify and monitor driving forces that may indicate future outcomes. Indicator Generation, Validation, and Evaluation are key methods here.

  6. Decision-Support: These techniques structure information to aid decision-making, useful when presenting to senior leaders. Techniques include SWOT Analysis.

Steps for Using SATs:

  1. Define the Question: Clearly outline the question you aim to answer, focusing on specific requirements from leadership. Avoid answering multiple questions with the same analysis to prevent bias.

  2. Identify Question Nature: Determine if the question is future-oriented or diagnostic to choose the appropriate technique.

  3. Review Data: Ensure you have all necessary information to generate hypotheses. Gather additional data if needed.

  4. Team Involvement: While individual analysis is possible, team efforts leverage diverse perspectives and address biases effectively.

Core Techniques:

  • Key Assumptions Check: This technique identifies and evaluates assumptions used in analysis. It involves gathering a diverse group to list and question assumptions, assessing their validity and impact.

  • Analysis of Competing Hypotheses (ACH): An eight-step process to evaluate multiple hypotheses and identify the most likely one. It involves listing hypotheses, evaluating evidence, refining conclusions, and documenting the analysis.

  • Indicator Generation, Validation, and Evaluation: In structured analysis, indicators are broader than just IOCs. They help in identifying signs that point towards potential outcomes.

Conclusion:

These SATs provide a structured approach to intelligence analysis, ensuring clarity and objectivity. By systematically organizing, exploring, diagnosing, reframing, forecasting, and supporting decisions, analysts can enhance the accuracy and effectiveness of their insights. Regularly revisiting assumptions and conclusions ensures that analyses remain relevant and valid as new information emerges.

The text discusses various analytic techniques used in intelligence-driven incident response, focusing on the generation, validation, and evaluation of indicators to track events and identify trends. This process, known as Indications and Warnings Intelligence, involves creating a list of indicators that reflect the status quo of an organization’s operations. Changes in these indicators can signal shifts in threat landscapes, prompting further analysis.

Indicators must be observable, reliable, and specific. They should be evaluated to determine if they are ideal (likely to identify intended activities) or non-diagnostic (observable in unrelated scenarios). Once indicators are validated, a regular monitoring process should be established, with periodic evaluations to ensure ongoing relevance.

Contrarian techniques are also highlighted, which challenge existing analyses to uncover biases and ensure robustness. These include:

  • Devil’s Advocate: Challenges accepted analyses by exploring opposing viewpoints.
  • “What if” Analysis: Introduces hypothetical scenarios to test the resilience of current judgments.
  • Red Team Analysis: Adopts an adversary’s perspective to anticipate potential threats and biases.

The text also introduces the Futures Wheel, a forecasting technique that explores potential outcomes of decisions by mapping hypothetical scenarios.

Target-centric analysis is presented as a collaborative approach that emphasizes relationships between analysts, customers, and collectors. This method seeks to overcome information overload and intelligence failures by fostering a shared understanding and reducing silos. It involves:

  1. Securing stakeholder buy-in for collaborative approaches.
  2. Developing a conceptual model of the “target,” often adversary networks, to understand and mitigate threats.
  3. Establishing operating processes for iterative and predictive intelligence analysis.
  4. Engaging in continuous feedback loops with stakeholders to refine intelligence outputs.
  5. Remaining adaptable to changing intelligence requirements.

The text emphasizes the importance of clear, objective analysis to counter biases and ensure the reliability of intelligence findings. Analysts are encouraged to pause and consider the broader context of their work, transitioning from instinctual to deliberate thinking to enhance the quality of their analyses.

In analyzing data, it’s crucial to start with specific questions to gain clarity and direction. Questions like “Why were we targeted?” or “How could this attack have been prevented?” help in understanding the nature and implications of a cyber attack. Identifying the attacker’s goals, tactics, and techniques provides insight into potential future threats. Understanding “Who attacked us?” is important, but focusing solely on this can lead to overlooking broader threats. It’s essential to analyze the attack’s nature, such as whether it targeted data integrity, confidentiality, or availability.

To prevent future attacks, it’s vital to assess what went wrong within your network, such as unpatched vulnerabilities or ignored alerts. Understanding how an attack could have been detected involves analyzing unique indicators like malware hashes and command-and-control IP addresses. Identifying patterns or trends in attacks can reveal campaign strategies or shared infrastructures among attackers.

Enriching data is a key step in the analysis process, providing additional context to indicators. This involves gathering more information about a particular indicator to interpret its meaning better. Enrichment sources include WHOIS information, passive DNS data, certificates, and malware details. WHOIS information helps track attacker infrastructure and identify compromised domains. Passive DNS provides insights into domain resolutions and activity patterns. Certificates offer pivot points due to the detailed information required for their issuance.

Internal enrichment involves understanding business operations and user information to determine why an attack was successful and what information was targeted. Information sharing with other organizations can provide nonpublic insights that enhance understanding of an incident. Formal groups like Information Sharing and Analysis Centers (ISACs) and informal partnerships play a significant role in this.

Developing a hypothesis is the next step after data enrichment. This involves synthesizing and interpreting collected information to form analytic judgments. A structured process ensures the analysis is complete, accurate, and reproducible. During this phase, it’s important to document all ideas, even speculative ones, as the analysis process will refine and validate them.

Overall, the analysis phase is about transforming data into actionable insights, enabling organizations to update threat profiles, patch systems, and create detection rules. This iterative process is crucial for enhancing an organization’s security posture and preventing future incidents.

The process of forming and evaluating hypotheses is critical in intelligence analysis, particularly when investigating incidents like the Road Runner intrusion. The primary goal is to determine if the intrusion was a targeted attack. Analysts must articulate clear hypotheses and avoid vague ideas that don’t address the core question. The hypothesis about the Road Runner case suggests a targeted attack aimed at sensitive information, but it requires further validation through structured analysis.

Hypothesis development becomes easier over time as analysts recognize patterns and behaviors from past incidents. However, it’s crucial not to prematurely accept a hypothesis without thorough analysis, considering assumptions and biases. Key assumptions must be identified, evaluated for validity, and documented. This step ensures all analysts share a common understanding.

The CIA’s Tradecraft Primer outlines the benefits of evaluating key assumptions, such as identifying faulty logic and stimulating discussions. The process involves identifying assumptions, assessing their confidence, challenging their validity, and removing those with low confidence. A hypothesis can remain plausible if supported by other evidence or higher confidence assumptions, even if some assumptions are removed.

Analysts must be aware of cognitive biases that can cloud judgment. These biases include confirmation bias, anchoring bias, availability bias, bandwagon effect, and mirroring. Confirmation bias leads analysts to focus on evidence supporting preexisting conclusions. Anchoring bias results in over-reliance on initial information. Availability bias emphasizes familiar information, potentially overlooking other evidence. The bandwagon effect involves assumptions gaining credibility as more people agree with them. Mirroring assumes the target thinks like the analyst, which can lead to flawed conclusions.

To counter these biases, analysts should use structured processes and engage in system 2 thinking, which involves deliberate and logical analysis. Evaluating key assumptions and focusing on the actual questions being asked can help mitigate these biases.

Judgment and conclusions are formed after evaluating assumptions and accounting for biases. Analysts use their knowledge and experience to interpret evidence and determine the likelihood of a hypothesis. Judgment involves disproving hypotheses, reviewing evidence, and articulating conclusions with confidence levels. Analysts should clearly document their conclusions and the evidence supporting them, ensuring that others can follow their logic.

A good formula for capturing a judgment includes assessing the confidence level, stating the judgment, citing evidence, and identifying indicators for further monitoring. This structured approach helps maintain clarity and accuracy in analysis, allowing for reevaluation if new information arises.

Summary of Analysis and Dissemination Process

Effective Analysis:

  • Slow Down: Engaging in deliberate reasoning helps counter biases and ensures a smoother process. Slow analysis allows others to follow your reasoning, ultimately saving time.
  • Flexible Process: Use a predefined but adaptable process to handle complex problems. Ensure all steps are followed to make sound judgments based on accurate information.
  • Conveying Findings: After analysis, findings must be effectively communicated to the appropriate audience to prompt action.

Dissemination of Intelligence:

  • Importance: Dissemination involves organizing and sharing intelligence. Poor dissemination can ruin good analysis, so it’s crucial to develop skills in this area.
  • Dedicated Resources: Larger teams may have dedicated resources for dissemination, emphasizing the need for clear writing and understanding of stakeholders.
  • Intelligence Products: These should be audience-focused, actionable, and developed through effective writing structures and processes.

Understanding Intelligence Customers:

  • Goals and Audience: Knowing customer goals and audience needs is critical. This influences product tone, structure, and timeframe.
  • Types of Customers: Include executives, internal technical customers, and external technical customers, each with unique needs and expectations.

Executive Leadership:

  • Challenges: Presenting to executives can be intimidating due to their authority and diverse technical skills.
  • Characteristics: Executives focus on strategic decisions, and products should help them make business-level decisions.
  • Effective Writing: Use operational intelligence to tell a story, keep reports brief, and start with an executive summary.

Internal Technical Customers:

  • Understanding Needs: Analysts, SOC teams, and engineers require tactical and operational products for intrusion detection and incident response.
  • Writing Approach: Focus on data, provide references, and offer machine-consumable formats like IOCs or YARA signatures. Feedback channels are essential.

External Technical Customers:

  • Rules of Engagement: Obtain permission, understand the audience, focus on translatable intelligence, and provide feedback methods.
  • Risks of Exposure: Consider the potential for leaks and avoid offensive language. Work with PR for feedback to mitigate risks.

By following structured processes and understanding customer needs, intelligence dissemination can be effective and actionable, ultimately supporting informed decision-making within organizations.

Creating effective intelligence products requires understanding the audience, which can be achieved through developing customer personas. Personas, borrowed from marketing practices, describe hypothetical customers by outlining their characteristics, challenges, and needs. This enables tailoring of intelligence products to meet specific stakeholder requirements. For instance, a CEO who is technically inclined may prefer detailed reports, while a SOC lead might favor concise summaries. Keeping personas updated, especially when roles change, ensures relevance and effectiveness.

The authorship of intelligence products is crucial for maintaining credibility. Authors must possess a deep understanding of the subject to write authoritatively and accurately. This avoids errors and ensures the information is conveyed in a manner suitable for the audience. The writing process should align with the authors’ expertise and the audience’s needs, ensuring the product is both accurate and useful.

Incorporating automated information, such as data from threat-intelligence platforms, can enhance reports. However, this data must be well-understood and contextualized to avoid confusion. Including links for reference and updates can provide additional context and accuracy.

Actionability is a key component of intelligence products. They should enable customers to take informed actions or make decisions. This involves providing detailed information on adversary tactics, techniques, and procedures (TTPs) and ensuring the inclusion of actionable indicators of compromise (IOCs). Avoiding overly broad descriptions and ensuring information is easily transferable are critical for maintaining actionability.

The writing process for intelligence products involves planning, drafting, and editing. Planning focuses on understanding the audience, authorship, and actionability. Drafting may begin with a thesis statement, facts, or an outline, and should embrace narrative techniques to make the information relatable. Editing is essential and often involves multiple reviewers to ensure clarity and accuracy.

Ultimately, understanding customer needs, technological capabilities, and maturity levels allows for the tailoring of intelligence products to effectively support decision-making and action. This involves continuous listening to stakeholders and adjusting products to meet their evolving requirements.

Summary

Effective editing in intelligence writing involves several key practices to enhance clarity and accuracy. Taking breaks and reading out loud can help identify overlooked errors. Automation tools like spellcheckers and grammar checkers are essential, but more advanced tools can identify inefficient constructs and weasel words. Good editing ensures accuracy, improves organization, and aligns with customer needs, avoiding pitfalls like passive voice, uncommon terms, and leading language.

Editors must distinguish between known facts and suspicions to prevent stakeholder misinterpretation. Visual aids, such as graphs and images, can make data more engaging and memorable. Brevity is crucial, focusing on essential information and eliminating redundancies.

Intelligence product formats are structured based on goals, audience, and actionability. Mature programs use templates for consistency. The “What, So What, Now What” structure helps in presenting facts, their importance, and recommended actions, tailored to customer expectations.

Short-Form Products: These are concise, tactical documents like event summaries and target packages. They are quickly produced and actionable, often linked to specific requests or incidents. Naming conventions for incidents or actors should be memorable yet non-attributable.

Long-Form Products: These detailed reports, like malware and campaign reports, involve extensive analysis and collaboration. They provide comprehensive insights and are used by mature teams. Long-form products should start with an executive summary and include a table of contents for easy navigation.

Templates for these products are available for teams to customize based on their organizational needs. They ensure that intelligence products are structured, clear, and actionable, catering to diverse stakeholders from SOC analysts to strategic leaders.

Summary

This document provides a detailed analysis of a cyber intrusion campaign, outlining the stages of the attack, indicators of compromise (IOCs), and the response actions taken. It uses frameworks like the Kill Chain and Diamond Model to dissect the attack phases: Reconnaissance, Weaponization, Delivery, Exploitation, Installation, Command & Control, and Actions on Objectives. Each phase is broken down to identify the adversary, their capabilities, infrastructure, and the victim.

Campaign Overview

The campaign is mapped against the Kill Chain, detailing how attackers gather information, configure attacks, deliver exploits, and maintain control over compromised systems. The Diamond Model is used to analyze each stage, focusing on the adversary’s capabilities and infrastructure.

Indicators of Compromise

The document lists network and host IOCs, including IP addresses and file paths, and provides network and host detection signatures using Snort and Yara rules. These signatures help in identifying malicious activities and are crucial for automated threat detection.

Intelligence Product Formats

Different formats for sharing intelligence are discussed, including unstructured IOCs, network signatures, and automated formats like STIX 2. These formats are designed for integration with various security tools, enhancing detection and response capabilities.

Request for Information (RFI) Process

The RFI process is a structured method for intelligence requests and responses, ensuring clarity and consistency. It involves templates for requests and responses, specifying details like the requester, response time, and sharing protocols.

Date and Time Formats

The document emphasizes using the YYYYMMDD format for dates and a 24-hour system for times to ensure global consistency and ease of sorting, particularly in automated systems.

Automated Consumption Products

Automated consumption products are designed for tools and systems, allowing for quick integration and use of threat data. These include unstructured IOCs, network signatures, and filesystem signatures, which are crucial for improving detection accuracy.

Casual observations and analyst notes are tracked to provide additional context. The document also references related intelligence products, both internal and external, highlighting the importance of comprehensive analysis.

Conclusion

The document serves as a guide for understanding and responding to cyber threats, emphasizing structured analysis, clear communication, and the use of standardized formats for sharing intelligence. It highlights the importance of integrating automated tools with human analysis to enhance cybersecurity efforts.

Summary

STIX and Intelligence Formats
STIX provides a standardized format for threat intelligence, serving as a useful tool for teams to communicate effectively.

Establishing a Rhythm
Intelligence teams must find a balance in the frequency of releasing products. Regular releases, like situational awareness reports, help maintain stakeholder interest and situational awareness. However, the frequency should be calibrated to avoid overwhelming stakeholders or losing relevance.

Distribution Methods
The distribution of intelligence products should be tailored to the audience, balancing ease of access with product protection. Common methods include email and portals like SharePoint, considering executives often use mobile devices.

Feedback Importance
Feedback is crucial to refine intelligence products. It includes technical feedback to ensure stakeholder needs are met and format feedback to enhance usability. Open communication lines and regular feedback help improve processes and product formats.

Regular Intelligence Products
Regular products, such as weekly threat reports, keep security priorities visible and stakeholders informed. They help establish a cadence aligned with customer needs and operational tempo.

Effective Dissemination
Successful intelligence dissemination requires creating accurate, audience-focused, and actionable products. Analysts should consider the goal, audience, length, intelligence level, and language tone during the writing process.

Feedback Loop
A continuous feedback loop between analysts, writers, editors, and customers is essential for improving intelligence products and processes.

Strategic Intelligence
Strategic intelligence involves understanding the broader context, including geopolitical and technological factors. It informs long-term planning and helps organizations learn from incidents to prevent recurrence. Strategic intelligence supports decision-making at all levels and helps prioritize responses and analyze lessons learned.

Sherman Kent’s Influence
Sherman Kent, a pioneer in intelligence analysis, emphasized the importance of strategic intelligence in shaping policies and strategies. His work highlights the need for developing new models to adapt to changing environments.

Role in Incident Response
Strategic intelligence plays a role before and after incidents, shaping response processes and integrating new insights into the strategic threat landscape. It helps answer key questions about targeting, effectiveness, and impact.

Conclusion
Strategic intelligence enhances an organization’s ability to prevent, identify, and respond to threats. It requires a balance of tactical and strategic thinking to adapt to evolving challenges.

Reframing mindset from a detailed focus to a broader strategic view is crucial in incident response. Strategic intelligence aids decision-making beyond detection and response, extending into areas like red teaming, which simulates adversaries to test defenses. However, red teams often lack real-world adversary insight, limiting their effectiveness. Aligning red team tactics with actual threats can enhance defense readiness.

Vulnerability management complements red teaming by reducing attack surfaces through identifying and mitigating vulnerabilities. Metrics like the Common Vulnerability Scoring System (CVSS) guide prioritization, but intelligence about adversary tactics can shift focus, as seen with the Log4Shell attacks. This intelligence-driven approach ensures that vulnerabilities are addressed in context, enhancing overall security posture.

Strategic intelligence also informs architecture and engineering by understanding adversary methods, improving system resilience. Resilience involves resistance, retention, recovery, and resurgence, focusing on maintaining and restoring functionality post-attack. Human systems, like communities, also require resilience, highlighting the broader applicability of strategic intelligence.

Framing decisions using strategic intelligence involves breaking down complex issues into parts and understanding their interactions, a process known as strategic synthesis. This approach helps identify relationships within systems, supporting informed decision-making. Models, such as target and hierarchical models, are tools for visualizing complex systems and their components.

Target models represent areas of focus, detailing component parts and their relationships. These models are dynamic, requiring updates to remain relevant. Hierarchical models depict structured relationships, useful for organizational or data structures. Network models illustrate interconnected relationships, valuable for understanding both organizational and adversary networks.

In summary, strategic intelligence extends beyond traditional incident response, enhancing decision-making across security functions. By aligning red team activities with real-world threats, prioritizing vulnerabilities based on adversary tactics, and using models to visualize complex systems, organizations can improve their resilience and security posture.

Strategic Intelligence and Model Development

Network and Process Models

  • Network Models: Essential for understanding relationships between attackers and victims. They require frequent updates due to rapidly changing components.
  • Process Models: Illustrate structured processes, aiding team analysis. The cyber intrusion kill chain is a notable example, documenting attacker steps at a strategic level. Nicole Hoffman’s “Cognitive Stairways of Analysis” provides a flexible framework for analysis, emphasizing hypothesis generation, data compilation, and dissemination.

Timelines and Their Importance

  • Timelines: Show time-based relationships in incidents, aiding in understanding vulnerability periods and tool propagation. They help visualize temporal aspects, supporting organizational goals.

Building and Maintaining Models

  • Purpose: Models create a common understanding, crucial for consistent responses and achieving goals, such as revenue increase or national security. They influence decision-making and operational analysis.

Strategic Intelligence Cycle

  • Setting Requirements: More vague than tactical ones, often following a “commander’s intent” model. Requirements can be broad and time-luxurious, necessitating periodic reviews to ensure relevance.
  • Collection: Involves a wider scope than tactical, including geopolitical, economic, and historical sources. This helps understand motivations and trends, crucial for strategic planning.

Types of Strategic Information

  • Geopolitical Sources: Provide context on international relations and conflicts, impacting cyber threat intelligence. Historical patterns and peer-reviewed articles are vital for understanding.
  • Economic Sources: Offer insights into motivations behind intrusions, such as monetization or industrial espionage.
  • Historical Sources: Reveal tactics from past conflicts, helping predict cyber strategies. Historical military doctrines are often referenced for insights.
  • Business Sources: Understanding the organization’s business context is crucial for supporting strategic decisions. This includes market dynamics, competition, and internal changes.

Analysis at the Strategic Level

  • Diverse Data Sets: Requires larger teams with varied expertise. Strategic analysis involves integrating network data with geopolitical, economic, and historical insights to form a comprehensive understanding of threats.

Conclusion

Strategic intelligence involves developing and maintaining models that support understanding and decision-making. It encompasses a broad collection of data and analysis, ensuring organizations are prepared to meet their goals and respond to threats effectively.

Strategic intelligence analysis involves understanding and evaluating information from various sources, often with limited tactical evidence and potential biases. Effective strategic intelligence requires processes like SWOT analysis, brainstorming, and scrub downs to assess strengths, weaknesses, opportunities, and threats, and to counter groupthink. SWOT analysis helps organizations identify internal and external factors affecting network security, while brainstorming encourages diverse perspectives to generate new hypotheses.

A scrub down, or murder board, involves presenting findings to a review board to identify biases and validate assumptions. This process helps analysts articulate their methods and findings clearly, essential for strategic intelligence where high-stakes decisions are made.

Dissemination of strategic intelligence differs from tactical or operational levels due to its broader scope and potential impact on business operations. It is crucial to tailor the presentation of intelligence to different audiences while maintaining consistency in the analysis. Highlighting intelligence gaps and potential trigger events is vital for clear communication with leadership.

The evolving nature of threats, including asymmetric threats like cyberattacks and emergent issues such as cryptocurrency and climate change, necessitates a shift towards anticipatory intelligence. This approach involves studying contexts and environments to foresee possible future developments, rather than predicting specific events.

Strategic intelligence supports decision-making by identifying significant threats, prioritizing incident response, and understanding external influences like global conflicts or pandemics. Despite being perceived as time-consuming, strategic intelligence is essential for effective incident response and long-term organizational success. It allows for adaptability and informed decision-making, helping organizations prepare for future challenges.

Building an intelligence program requires a structured approach and readiness, including a solid security foundation and sufficient visibility into network, host, and service data. Without these prerequisites, an intelligence team may not function effectively. Organizations must ensure they have the necessary infrastructure and resources before establishing an intelligence function, which serves as the glue connecting various security operations.

In conclusion, strategic intelligence is crucial for understanding long-term threats and informing leadership decisions. It supports incident response, guides tactical and operational analysis, and aids in transitioning towards anticipatory intelligence. Despite challenges in implementation, strategic intelligence is vital for preparing organizations to navigate complex security environments.

Summary of Building an Intelligence Program

Establishing an intelligence program within an organization involves several critical considerations and steps to ensure its success and sustainability. Intelligence can significantly enhance an organization’s ability to manage external threats, support multiple functions, and improve decision-making across various teams. However, its implementation requires careful planning and resource allocation.

Key Considerations

  1. Budget and Resources: Intelligence programs are typically cost centers, not profit centers. Adequate funding is crucial, especially for personnel and third-party services. It’s important to avoid knee-jerk reactions to incidents that lead to unsustainable spending without a clear strategy.

  2. Planning Phases:

    • Conceptual Planning: Establishes the framework and involves stakeholders to understand what intelligence can offer.
    • Functional Planning: Identifies requirements, logistics, and constraints, providing structure and realism.
    • Detailed Planning: Conducted by the intelligence team to determine how goals will be met within functional limits.
  3. Defining Stakeholders: Identifying stakeholders is essential for aligning the intelligence program with organizational needs. Common stakeholders include incident response teams, security operations centers, vulnerability management teams, red teams, trust and safety teams, CISOs, and end users.

  4. Setting Goals and Success Criteria: Goals should be defined in collaboration with stakeholders, focusing on their needs and how the intelligence program can meet them. Success criteria help ensure everyone has a shared understanding of what constitutes successful support.

  5. Identifying Requirements and Constraints: Conducting exercises to identify the needs and potential issues for achieving goals helps in planning. Requirements and constraints should be documented to guide decision-making.

  6. Strategic Thinking: It’s important to avoid overcommitting to tasks without addressing constraints. Decisions should align with the program’s mission and vision, and tasks should be sustainable.

  7. Defining Metrics: Metrics should tell a story relevant to stakeholders, showing progress quantitatively. Early planning for metrics helps in tracking and communicating the program’s success.

By following these structured steps and considerations, organizations can build a robust intelligence program that supports various functions, enhances security, and aligns with strategic objectives. Proper planning and stakeholder engagement are critical to ensuring the program’s long-term effectiveness and adaptability to evolving threats.

Summary

Stakeholder Personas and Success Metrics

Understanding stakeholder goals and defining success metrics are crucial for intelligence programs. Stakeholder personas help intelligence analysts focus on specific needs, ensuring the right information is delivered effectively. Individual personas, updated with role changes, enhance the relationship between intelligence and stakeholder teams.

Tactical Use Cases

Tactical intelligence is vital for daily operations. Key use cases include:

  • SOC Support: Intelligence aids in detection, alerting, and triage, providing context to prioritize alerts and offering situational awareness for emerging threats.
  • Indicator Management: Effective management of indicators involves maintaining threat-intelligence platforms and integrating third-party feeds. Indicators must be updated to remain relevant, avoiding the pitfalls of unnecessary data accumulation.

Operational Use Cases

Operational intelligence focuses on understanding attack campaigns and trends:

  • Campaign Tracking: Identifying campaign focus and tactics helps in early detection and response. Sharing information across industries and understanding attacker behaviors enhance defense strategies.

Strategic Use Cases

Strategic intelligence supports long-term organizational changes:

  • Architecture Support: Improves network defenses by analyzing past incidents and campaign data to anticipate and mitigate threats.
  • Risk Assessment: Provides situational awareness to manage risks effectively, identifying changes in risk levels and suggesting mitigations to ensure business continuity.

Multilevel Intelligence Programs

Organizations often use a multilevel approach, combining strategic, operational, and tactical intelligence. Programs can be structured top-down, where strategic insights guide tactical operations, or bottom-up, where tactical findings inform strategic decisions. Each approach has its benefits, depending on organizational needs and stakeholder involvement.

In military operations, planning is crucial, with commanders responsible for overarching goals, intelligence support, and the status of forces. A top-down approach involves strategic intelligence to keep leadership informed about threats, while a bottom-up approach focuses on tactical levels, pushing relevant information to executives. Critical information needs, such as breaches or intrusions, must be communicated promptly to leadership.

Building an effective intelligence team requires diversity in experiences and backgrounds, enhancing problem-solving and analysis. Cognitive diversity, involving different perspectives and information processing styles, is particularly beneficial. Teams should be dynamic, with a focus on growth and development. Skills beyond core intelligence, like communication and project management, are essential.

Once an intelligence program is operational, demonstrating its value is key. This involves showing how it supports stakeholders and mitigates risks. Learning from mistakes is crucial for program maturity. Moving from incident-response support to a full intelligence team can significantly enhance security operations.

The text emphasizes the importance of strategic intelligence dissemination, involving a clear understanding of customer goals and effective communication. Intelligence products should be actionable, with formats tailored to different audiences. The writing process should be structured, starting with a thesis and outline, followed by drafting and editing.

Overall, the text highlights the transition from tactical to strategic intelligence, the importance of diverse and dynamic teams, and the need for effective communication and demonstration of program value.

The text provides a comprehensive overview of intelligence-driven incident response, focusing on methodologies, processes, and the integration of intelligence into cybersecurity operations. Key components include the F3EAD cycle, which outlines phases like Find, Fix, Finish, Exploit, Analyze, and Disseminate, crucial for effective incident response. The incident-response cycle is detailed with phases such as Preparation, Identification, Containment, Eradication, Recovery, and Lessons Learned.

Intelligence plays a pivotal role, with distinctions made between tactical, operational, and strategic intelligence. Tactical intelligence involves immediate response strategies, while strategic intelligence encompasses broader, anticipatory measures. The text emphasizes the importance of models like the Diamond Model and OODA loops for understanding adversary behavior and enhancing decision-making processes.

Indicators of Compromise (IOCs) are crucial for identifying and managing threats. The text discusses various formats and standards for IOCs, such as STIX and TAXII, and the importance of threat-intelligence platforms like MISP for managing these indicators. The integration of intelligence into incident response is highlighted through examples like the SolarWinds intrusion and Operation SMN, demonstrating the practical application of intelligence in real-world scenarios.

The text also covers the importance of strategic intelligence in addressing biases, setting strategic requirements, and disseminating intelligence products effectively. Structured analytic techniques (SATs) are introduced as tools for enhancing analysis, with techniques like Analysis of Competing Hypotheses and Key Assumptions Check being pivotal for thorough intelligence evaluation.

The role of intelligence programs is explored, emphasizing the need for defining goals, metrics, and success criteria. Stakeholder engagement is crucial, with roles identified for various teams such as red, blue, and purple teams, as well as security operations centers (SOC). The importance of building diverse intelligence teams and leveraging strategic use cases is underscored to enhance organizational resilience and situational awareness.

Additionally, the text delves into the writing process for intelligence products, highlighting the importance of clarity, narrative structure, and avoiding common pitfalls. Feedback and iterative drafting are essential for producing effective intelligence reports that cater to different audiences, including executive leadership and technical teams.

Overall, the text provides a detailed framework for integrating intelligence into cybersecurity operations, emphasizing the need for continuous learning, adaptation, and strategic foresight to effectively counter cyber threats and enhance organizational security posture.

The cover of “Intelligence-Driven Incident Response” features a fan-tailed raven, a small raven species native to the Arabian Peninsula and Northeast Africa. These birds, identifiable by their all-black plumage and rounded tails, resemble vultures in flight and have a varied omnivorous diet. Capable of vocal mimicry, they mimic human sounds mainly in captivity. The cover image is sourced from Riverside Natural History, with fonts including Gilroy Semi-bold and Guardian Sans for the cover, Adobe Minion Pro for text, Adobe Myriad Condensed for headings, and Ubuntu Mono for code. O’Reilly Media, known for educational resources like books and courses, published this work in 2023.

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